Good Cards Make for Easy Poker (aka Nerd Time)

A little back of the "hand" statistical analysis.

Over the past 6 weeks I have been delt 7,341 hands of poker. I have been delt a pocket pairs 429 times or an average of 33 times for each pocket pair 22-AA.

Expected is:
7341/210 = 35 7341/221=33
Standard Deviation is 6.656.

So the number of pocket pairs is slightly below right at the expected number but well within the expected range.

Execpt.....

AA

I have been delt AA 44 times. This is 11 instances more than my average, 11 more than the expected average and 1.42 1.65 standard deviations more than expected. The standard deviation is calculated on my experience, not the true stdev for getting delt a pocket pair in a 10 handed ring game of hold'em.

So am I playing well? Or is AA saving my ass?

The amount I have won with AA is = 78% of my online bankroll. I have won with it 81% of the time at a clip of 3.88 BB each time I get it. I have never slowplayed it. My pre-flop raise % is 100%.

Taking the above stats into account I have been delt AA 3 4 extra times. Or 3 4 times outside of the expected range so there is an extra 11.84 16.85 BB's from AA in my roll right now.

Thats 68% of my bankroll.

Ready for another swing? I guess I better be.

Other notes: I have been delt 55 25 times, 33 25 times and 22 24 times. Well below the expected. But thats okay, I play small pocket pairs in a -EV fashion all the time.

Feel free to correct my math as I spent about five minutes doing this and didn't check my work. Why? cause Im not getting graded so why TF should I? you get the point of the post even if my math is fuzzy, right?

Thanks to Mr. Subliminal for point me in the right direction and for the heads up that the swing is going to be bigger than I thought.